Gold and Silver Prices Fall: Sharp Decline in Metal Value Amid Global Market Factors
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Gold and Silver Prices Fall: Sharp Decline in Metal Value Amid Global Market Factors

Ahead of the Dhanteras and Diwali festivals, prices for gold and silver are showing a steady decline. A sudden collapse in precious metal prices occurred on Tuesday, which intensified in the afternoon.

On Tuesday, the price of silver on the MCX exchange dropped to 1.75 lakh rupees per kilogram, while the price of gold fell below 1.38 lakh rupees per 10 grams. Silver recorded a drop of approximately 5%, and gold's dropped by 2%. For buyers before the holidays, this may present a favorable opportunity, as it is customary in the country to purchase gold and silver during Dhanteras, and prices have been decreasing over the last week.

It should be noted that gold has become cheaper by 53 thousand rupees per 10 grams compared to its January peak. In January, the price of gold reached 1.91 lakh rupees per 10 grams. The situation with silver proved more complex: in January, the price per kilogram on MCX reached 4.21 lakh rupees, whereas today it has fallen to 1.78 lakh rupees, approaching 2.43 lakh rupees per kilogram.

In recent weeks, significant declines in gold and silver prices have been observed in global markets (Comex and LBMA). This is linked to the strengthening of the dollar index and the yield on American bonds in global markets, shifting investment interest away from the considered safe gold towards other assets. Since gold does not generate interest, its attractiveness decreases amid rising yields.

At the international level, precious metals are under constant pressure, leading to price reductions in the domestic market as well. Furthermore, concerns regarding the tight monetary policy of the US central bank on interest rates have alerted commodity investors, intensifying selling pressure. In the case of silver, the sharp price drop is attributed to weak international industrial demand, particularly in the solar energy and manufacturing sectors, as well as signs of a global slowdown and sluggish demand from China, which has severely undermined the recovery of silver prices.

Following fluctuations in global stock markets, large investors and funds have actively taken profits on gold and silver, resulting in a substantial drop in prices.

The impact of the global slowdown is clearly visible in the Indian jewelry market. Despite the traditional enthusiasm for purchases remaining in Indian markets during Dhanteras and Diwali, this fall after high prices has surprised both buyers and investors.

Experts believe that this correction, occurring just before the festive season, could present a favorable opportunity for middle-class families and investors who have long planned to invest in gold and silver. Nevertheless, given the high volatility of the market, purchases are advised with great caution. The movement of gold and silver prices amid strong pressure and sell-offs in international markets is entirely dependent on global economic signals and the dollar exchange rate. Although festive demand is attempting to curb this decline, investor attention is now focused on upcoming global economic data.

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Silver reaches lowest price in 10 months; analysts advise phased buying strategy
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Silver reaches lowest price in 10 months; analysts advise phased buying strategy

Amidst the holidays, there is a significant decline in silver prices, with daily quotes falling. In January of this year, the price of silver reached the mark of 4.21 lakh rupees per kilogram, but since then, the cost has sharply decreased.

On Tuesday, October 27, the price on MCX dropped to 1.91 lakh rupees per kilogram, which is the lowest figure in the last ten months. This contrasts with last October's prices, which fluctuated between 2.10 and 2.20 lakh rupees per kilogram. During Tuesday, a drop of 4000 rupees per kilogram was recorded, corresponding to a 2% decrease during trading.

Compared to the record high in January of 4.21 lakh rupees, silver is currently cheaper by approximately 2.30 lakh rupees. The question arises whether this period is an ideal time to buy ahead of the holiday season, or if further price declines are possible. Experts advise investors to consider purchasing silver gradually, for example, through a SIP format.

Silver is trading at a level that is 53-54% below its historical high. Technically, the asset is in a zone that can be characterized as 'oversold'. Nevertheless, market specialists warn that investing the entire amount at once based solely on the decline could lead to losses. Therefore, a more sensible approach is to invest in installments.

If you plan to buy one kilogram of silver, equivalent to approximately 2 lakh rupees, you can start by purchasing 250 grams (about 50 thousand rupees) today. Then, you should purchase another 250 grams in subsequent days, completing the investment of the entire amount within three months.

For those who prefer a digital format, it is recommended to use Silver ETFs or Silver Mutual Fund FoFs, depositing a fixed amount weekly or monthly. Buying physical silver incurs additional costs in the form of manufacturing charges and VAT. Consequently, Silver ETFs or e-silver are more preferable options for long-term returns. If physical silver is purchased, one should choose coins or bars to avoid manufacturing charges.

The significant drop in silver prices is due to several factors. Firstly, the rise in the dollar index and the increase in global bond yields during the US Federal Reserve meetings put pressure on precious metal prices. As a result, silver trades around $54 per ounce on COMEX. Additionally, the slowdown in global production has led to some decline in industrial demand for silver.

Over the last month, the price of silver has fallen by approximately 40 thousand rupees per kilogram. According to experts, now is the right time for gradual investment in silver, as a recovery in the global economic situation could lead to a significant increase in prices.

Drop in Silver and Gold Prices: Silver Bubble Bursts in Four Days, Prices Fall by 16,000 Rupees
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Drop in Silver and Gold Prices: Silver Bubble Bursts in Four Days, Prices Fall by 16,000 Rupees

A continuous decline in the prices of gold and silver has been observed during the festive season. A significant drop in the prices of precious metals occurred both on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) and in the domestic market. In just four days of trading, the silver bubble burst, and the price in the domestic market fell by more than 16,000 rupees. On MCX, silver is now selling for approximately 2.24 lakh rupees less than its peak level.

Simultaneously, gold prices also sharply decreased.

First, let's look at the changes in the cost of silver in markets across the country, including Delhi. Before Diwali and Gangaur, silver depreciated significantly, and its price dropped below 2 lakh rupees per kilogram. According to data from the Indian Bullion Jewelers Association (IBJA.Com), the price of silver in the domestic market was 2,10,918 rupees on October 16, and this Friday it fell to 1,94,415 rupees, which represents a drop of 16,503 rupees for silver per kilogram.

Silver plummeted not only in domestic markets but also in futures trading. Silver for 1 kg with an expiry date of December 4, which cost 2,11,187 rupees on MCX on October 16, fell to 1,96,100 rupees this Friday. Thus, over four days, silver became cheaper by 15,087 rupees per kilogram in the futures market.

Due to the significant decrease in silver prices this week, this precious metal is now available at a price less than half of its historical high of 4,20,048 rupees, reached at the end of January this year. Compared to the current price, the price of 1 kg of silver has fallen by 2,23,948 rupees from the peak.

After the fall in silver prices, let's examine the decrease in the cost of gold. This precious yellow metal also experienced a sharp drop this week. According to MCX Gold Rate data, gold with a December 4 expiry weight of 10 grams became 5,768 rupees cheaper, falling from 1,47,918 rupees to 1,42,150 rupees. Furthermore, according to IBJA, the price dropped by 4,796 rupees per 10 grams in the domestic market, falling from 1,46,426 rupees to 1,41,630 rupees.

When purchasing jewelry, it should be noted that in addition to the applicable GST, the buyer must pay a manufacturing fee, which can vary across different states and cities, thereby increasing the final cost of gold.

Sharp drop in silver and gold prices on the MCX exchange
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Sharp drop in silver and gold prices on the MCX exchange

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), precious metal prices experienced a sharp decline on Thursday following the start of futures trading. Prices for both metals plummeted: the cost of silver fell by more than 5,000 rupees, reaching a level of 2.03 lakh rupees per kilogram, while the futures gold rate dropped to 1.44 lakh rupees per 10 grams.

The drop in silver prices accelerated on Thursday, although a decrease had been observed over the past four days. On MCX, the price of silver with a December 4 expiry fell to 2,03,798 rupees, compared to closing at 2,09,168 rupees on the previous trading day. Thus, silver lost 5,370 rupees per kilogram in a single move.

Comparing current prices to the historical high, silver on MCX had previously exceeded the 4 lakh rupee mark for the first time at the end of January, peaking at 4,20,048 rupees. Based on current prices, silver is now available 2,16,250 rupees cheaper than its maximum value.

Not only silver, but also futures prices for gold sharply decreased. On MCX, 24-carat gold with a December 4 expiry fell to 1,44,311 rupees from an opening price on Thursday. Previously, on Wednesday, it traded at 1,46,079 rupees per 10 grams, representing a decrease of 1,768 rupees per 10 grams.

The decline in gold prices has continued since the beginning of this week. On Friday, the last trading day of last week, the futures price of gold was 1,47,918 rupees per 10 grams. As of the writing of this news on Thursday, the gold rate had fallen by 3,607 rupees. Furthermore, compared to September 30, when 10 grams of gold cost 1,49,036 rupees, it is now cheaper by 4,725 rupees per 10 grams.

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