The railway transport reform program in South Africa has opened the freight rail market to broader private investment and increased competition. The next critical step is ensuring that this opportunity leads to increased capacity, improved service reliability, and tangible economic benefits.
The stakes in this matter are high. According to the latest logistics status report, the cost of transporting goods across the country is projected to reach a record R1.16 trillion in 2026, equivalent to 14.6% of GDP, exceeding all global counterparts. Improving the performance of the railway transport can reduce these costs and strengthen South Africa's economic competitiveness.
Opening the rail network to private Train Operating Companies (TOCs) can solve this problem, but the success of the reform cannot be measured solely by the number of signed access agreements or the number of new operators gaining network access. The government, private operators, and investors must jointly participate in creating a more efficient railway system for the economy. Progress will depend on aligning these contributions around the common goal—more reliable, efficient, and competitive freight transport.
Access is only valuable if it is utilized
Transnet Railway Infrastructure Manager (TRIM) has finalized Railway Access Agreements with 11 private TOCs, eight of which are new sector participants. As more companies apply for access to the rail network, the sector must be able to distinguish between interest in operating trains and the actual ability to provide viable service.
Freight transport requires significant investment in assets, skills, and operations. Granting access alone does not provide the necessary resources or guarantees that an operator will be ready to utilize the allocated capacity within the stipulated timeframe. Unused capacity means potential cargo volumes are not realized, capable operators remain waiting, and economic growth is missed.
The solution is not to restrict competition or create unnecessary barriers for new entrants, but to ensure that capacity allocation goes to companies that have demonstrated the capability and willingness to provide services. South Africa needs transparent, evidence-based requirements that objectively assess an applicant's capacity and readiness to use the requested capacity. This must be supported by clear implementation milestones and redistribution mechanisms where necessary. A 24-month allocation cycle allows for transforming network access into effective freight services, but failure to realize this potential threatens the slowdown of railway reform.
Capital requires a viable operational environment
Every additional million tonnes of train capacity requires approximately R1 billion in rolling stock investment. Securing this level of capital depends on the confidence of investors and lenders that efficient railway operations can generate predictable long-term cash flows. Two factors remain particularly important for the investment case: first, the condition and reliability of the railway infrastructure; and second, the need for clear service level commitments regarding TRIM's performance.
Years of underfunding of railway infrastructure have resulted in some parts of the network operating below design capacity, and restoring key corridors will require significant capital and time. Furthermore, it is crucial to have a clear and credible understanding of the service level the network can realistically provide as restoration work proceeds. Without this, operators cannot accurately forecast volumes, costs, and profitability, which complicates risk assessment and project financing by lenders. In the absence of confidence in operational cash flows, lenders demand a high level of equity in the train investment structure. This increases the cost of freight transport, limits investment, and prevents new entrants without access to substantial equity capital from entering the market.
Thus, the Network Report is crucial for the success of railway reform, and it can be strengthened through clear service level commitments and mutual accountability. Operators must be responsible for providing the services they claim, while infrastructure managers must ensure transparency in the network operation upon which operators depend. Frameworks based on clear commitments, constructive engagement, and shared responsibility will build the necessary confidence to attract investment and build a competitive freight transport market.
Investment makes reform real
The Vector project by Traxtion demonstrates the scale of private investment required to increase freight capacity in the market. This program involves R1.8 billion for 46 diesel-electric locomotives and an additional R1.6 billion for approximately 920 wagons. The first locomotives are expected to begin operating in the first half of 2027, and the program is scheduled for completion in 2028.
Once commissioned, Project Vector is projected to transport about 4.5 million tonnes of cargo annually, covering approximately 5% of South Africa's freight logistics deficit. The project is planned with 60% local content and 78% local procurement volume, with an expected R207 million going into the lower-tier locomotive industry and R1.6 billion into wagon manufacturing. These investments put assets into operation, increase freight capacity, and create long-term demand for local engineering, manufacturing, maintenance, and technical skills. The project is expected to support 662 direct jobs at Traxtion, boost supply chain activity, reduce fuel consumption by approximately 15% due to new engines, and cut carbon emissions by 40%–60% compared to road transport.
Project Vector serves as an example of what successful railway reform can achieve by converting private investment into operational capacity, competitive logistics, and broader economic value, including job creation, although such progress is only possible provided the network is financially viable to attract investment.
Measure reform by its implementation results
The goal is not simply to increase the number of slots provided, but to transport a larger volume of cargo more efficiently by rail, which strengthens South Africa's competitiveness and creates a sustainable foundation for development. Achieving these goals will require joint efforts from public and private stakeholders to initially implement a robust process for granting access to the national railway network, as well as ensuring that private sector applicants fulfill the allocated rail capacity on schedule.
Railway reform has created new theoretical possibilities related to railways. The task now is to transform access into investment, investment into additional capacity, and capacity into measurable economic growth. James Holly, CEO of Traxtion, and Reneylwe Mokoena, Investment Director at Harith General Partners.


