IUCN report indicates that almost all shallow coral reefs worldwide are threatened with extinction
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IUCN report indicates that almost all shallow coral reefs worldwide are threatened with extinction

A report released this Thursday (22) by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) indicates that the vast majority of global shallow coral reefs are at serious risk of disappearing. The organization classified 96% of these ecosystems as being in the highest risk category, termed 'critically endangered,' which implies the possibility of complete extinction by the year 2075.

This assessment marks the first time that coral reef ecosystems have been included in the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems. The study was based on decades of climate data collection and observations, involving over 250 specialists and covering reefs located in more than 80 countries. According to the report, approximately 24% of existing reefs on the planet are currently in critical condition.

The concern lies in the potential for a cascade effect: even if certain coral species manage to resist the general collapse of the reefs, the remaining individuals may also be harmed. This occurs because, due to low density and distance between corals, species reproduction becomes unviable.

To reproduce, corals require the proximity of other individuals of the same species. Most of these species live in colonies composed of small organisms known as polyps, which multiply through cloning. Over time, these clones secrete calcium carbonate skeletons, forming the characteristic structure of marine coral reefs.

According to the IUCN, thermal stress caused by climate change constitutes the primary threat to coral reef ecosystems worldwide. This phenomenon directly leads to increased ocean temperatures, marine heatwaves, overfishing, and pollution—factors that cause or intensify coral bleaching.

Bleaching is intrinsically linked to a mutualistic relationship with algae called zooxanthellae. These algae reside in the coral tissues, providing them with shelter, while in return, they receive the vital energy necessary for their survival. Zooxanthellae are also responsible for the vibrant coloration of these animals.

However, when water temperature rises, corals experience stress and expel the zooxanthellae. Without these partners, the corals become deprived of nutrition, become vulnerable to harmful algae, and lose their pigmentation, which gives rise to the term 'bleaching.' If stress conditions persist, the corals can die of starvation.

To date, only one shallow reef ecosystem in the world has registered a collapse, as pointed out by the IUCN: the one located near the western part of the Galapagos Islands. These reefs lost more than 95% of their corals after the 1982 El Niño event, which resulted in intense warming in the eastern Pacific, combined with other adversities.

The list of critically endangered areas includes the Great Barrier Reef off the coast of Australia; the Coral Triangle in the western Pacific Ocean; and the Mesoamerican Reef System in the Caribbean, citing only a few examples. It is important to note that in four of the examined regions, the available data on the reefs were insufficient for researchers to determine their exact status.

Despite the alarming outlook, the report's authors emphasize that there is hope. Since the conclusions are based on current global warming projections, a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions could reverse the situation. Without the impacts of climate change, only 24% of reefs would be classified as critically endangered.

Additionally, coral reefs are crucial ecosystems for life, often called the tropical forests of the sea. One quarter of all marine species are found in these environments or nearby. Furthermore, they play a fundamental role in sustaining millions of life forms, protecting coastlines, and fostering the tourism sector.

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Coral Reef Status: Stories of the Fight for Preservation in Different Regions of the World
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chinadialogue.net

Coral Reef Status: Stories of the Fight for Preservation in Different Regions of the World

More than ten years ago, Wang Xiaoyun began his work on coral conservation in the waters off Shenzhen, southern China. He became one of the founders of the local group DiveForLove, which organized volunteers to survey reefs, clean up debris, and collect and transplant corals damaged by storms. Protecting the corals off the coast of Shenzhen, a highly urbanized city, is an extremely important task.

In the 1980s, corals covered about 70% of the Dappen Bay, while by 2000, this figure had dropped below 30%, matching the current coverage level of the bay. Coral bleaching occurs due to thermal stress and oceanic conditions related to weather systems; corals lose color by expelling symbiotic algae. In 2024, Dappen Bay experienced a particularly severe bleaching episode, where, according to Wang, 60% of local corals turned white. Although corals can survive bleaching, prolonged exposure to excessively high temperatures leads to their death, resulting in the disappearance of other species that depend on coral reefs for food and shelter.

A large-scale study published earlier this year, based on 21.1 million observations across more than 36,000 reefs in 124 countries, showed a global decline in hard coral cover. The study noted that the interval between major global bleaching events has shortened to approximately five to six years, which is often insufficient for reef recovery. Furthermore, a new report released this month indicated that about 44% of reef-building coral species are under 'elevated relative risk of extinction.' These species were assessed by marine biologists from around the world and have all been listed as endangered by the International Union for Conservation of Nature.

The ocean is rapidly setting new temperature records, and the current El Niño phase promises to further raise temperatures. Corals face a bleak future marked by bleaching. However, the problem extends beyond the death of marine invertebrates: the loss of corals threatens the livelihoods, food security, and coastal protection of hundreds of millions of people worldwide who depend on their local reefs.

In recent years, Wang's group has shifted its focus from coral restoration to marine environmental education, hoping this will ultimately lead to better ocean protection. He notes that in the context of global climate change, local efforts may seem insignificant, but he urges not to give up, striving to 'sow seeds in people's hearts.'

Near the coast of Kenya, where the Indian Ocean meets the village of Kuruvitu, fisherman Katangangala is also involved in restoring local reefs. For two decades, he has dedicated himself to creating underwater coral nurseries to help connect fragmented corals in a marine reserve. This 30-hectare area was established after the 1996 El Niño event to restore fish populations and protect damaged and degraded reefs.

El Niño is a climate pattern in which surface waters in the eastern-central tropical Pacific Ocean warm significantly above average. This affects rainfall patterns and weather globally, increasing global temperatures during its duration. El Niño is part of a phenomenon called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); the opposite, cooler phase is called La Niña. El Niño events do not occur on a regular schedule but happen, on average, every two to seven years.

Katangangala tells Dialogue Earth that several years ago, before starting coral restoration work, they suffered greatly due to dependence on fishing, but there were no fish. He is glad that thanks to their efforts, fish and corals have returned to the waters. He emphasizes that the ocean is vital for men and women, fishermen and fish traders, as well as children who fish. He knows the risk posed by the high temperatures observed in many places: 'Corals need a warm temperature within 25-30°C. More than that, and the corals will die and bleach.'

Experts point out that while local actions cannot counteract warming waters caused by global greenhouse gas emissions, reducing fishing pressure, cleaning water, and supporting reefs through projects like Katangangala's can help reefs adapt. Activities that improve coral health give them a greater chance of surviving sharp temperature increases.

Juliet Furaha Karisa, an ecologist and conservationist from the Kenyan Institute of Marine and Fisheries Resources, tells Dialogue Earth that Kenya uses protected areas, community-led conservation initiatives, restoration, and other tools to aid its reefs. She notes that government agencies, scientists, conservation organizations, districts, communities, women, and youth are taking strong and increasingly coordinated action. Nevertheless, she stresses that restoration and local management cannot cool the ocean, and Kenya's national efforts must be accompanied by rapid global reductions in greenhouse gas emissions for Kenya's coral reefs to survive in a functional form.

As part of the Coral Triangle, Bali Island in Indonesia plays a key role in coral reef conservation. This region, covering six countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, and Timor-Leste—is a global center of coral biodiversity, hosting 76% of the world's coral species. More than a third of the region's 350 million inhabitants depend on the ocean.

On Bali, these reefs provide significant income from tourism. Pariama Hutasoit, an Indonesian marine conservationist and chairman of the Coastal and Marine Biodiversity Foundation (Bali Blue Harmony), says that communities are beginning to realize the importance of coral reefs for the sustainability of marine life and for themselves. Fishermen can catch fish more easily and earn additional income from marine tourism.

In one such community is Nusa Penida, located near Bali. This island is known for its impressive diving spots and aggregations of Mola mola (ocean sunfish) and manta rays. In 2010, I Nyoman Karyawan, a resident of Nusa Penida, became concerned that seaweed farming was damaging local reefs to make space for cultivation. He launched a coral planting project. Like many who love and depend on corals, he faced a problem much larger than the local pressure he was trying to mitigate: 'Global warming... yes, the impact is usually felt worldwide. We seem to have to accept it, and it's hard to prevent if it's just us. However, we continue to try to care for them and plant them as well as possible, without stopping. Because these coral reefs are part of a natural chain and the livelihoods of people here.'

This natural chain is under unprecedented pressure. If it breaks, not only the corals will suffer.

In Quintana Roo state, Mexico, coral reefs attract many tourists eager to see reefs, sharks, rays, and turtles. Nadia Rubio-Cisneros, a researcher from the Autonomous University of Nuevo León, Mexico (UANL), based on the island of Cozumel in the state, asserts that reef health is inextricably linked to fishing, tourism, and the well-being of their communities. Nadia also leads the research and education group Sustainable Seas Science and Conservation (MSCC), which works to protect sharks dependent on local habitats.

Caribbean reefs generate billions of dollars annually from tourism and fishing, yet they are among the most degraded in the world. Besides bleaching, they face issues with diseases, massive influxes of brown algae that can cover corals, plastic pollution, damage from overtourism, and massive hotel developments that worsen water quality.

Luis Fernando Amesqua, a diver and resident of the coastal village of Mahaual south of Cozumel, notes: 'Compared to 15 or 25 years ago, the reef is heavily damaged. If you spot a barracuda, a grey ray [southern spiny ray], or a turtle during a dive, it's cause for celebration.' He adds that some long-time workers feel bitter disappointment seeing the coral reefs where they once worked literally disappear in a single month.

Rosa Elisa Rodriguez-Martinez, a reef researcher from the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), based in Puerto Morelos, 300 km up the coast from Mahaual, states that many species previously common in the Caribbean, such as certain agalactid and porites species, have not been observed for many years or only in 'significantly reduced' numbers.

Many local residents and experts interviewed by Dialogue Earth hope that local efforts can buy time for global emission reductions, which will ultimately limit global warming. However, Rodriguez-Martinez is pessimistic. She fears that given trends in ocean temperature rise, eutrophication, and marine pollution, coral reefs located far from human-impacted coasts and in colder, deeper waters may be the only ones to survive. She suggests that perhaps only after thousands of years could survivors repopulate the seas if conditions become suitable for coral growth again.

El Niño phenomenon alters ocean color and poses a threat to marine life
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olhardigital.com.br

El Niño phenomenon alters ocean color and poses a threat to marine life

Images captured by NASA reveal that certain areas of the Pacific Ocean transitioned from greenish hues to a deeper blue between 2025 and 2026. This transformation is directly linked to El Niño, a climatic event characterized by the warming of ocean waters, which, according to specialists, is causing a decrease in phytoplankton populations, microscopic organisms vital to marine ecosystems.

The variation was detected by the Ocean Color Instrument, installed on the PACE satellite, which monitors changes in visible light to analyze the distribution of these microorganisms. This current episode may be the most intense El Niño ever documented, presenting tropical Pacific temperatures approximately 4°C above the normal value, as detailed in an article published on the IFLScience website.

Phytoplankton encompasses thousands of species of microscopic beings that perform photosynthesis and produce various pigments, being responsible for part of the chromatic variations of the oceans. Typically, in the equatorial area of the Pacific, green species rich in chlorophyll predominate.

These organisms depend on colder waters with a higher nutrient content. During the El Niño period, the increase in sea surface temperature restricts the ascent of deep waters that bring these nutrients, which harms phytoplankton development.

The data provided by the PACE satellite allows for the observation of this modification: bluer tones generally signal a lower concentration of phytoplankton, while greenish or yellowish areas indicate higher concentrations.

For much of 2025, a band of greenish water extended across the Pacific, covering from Latin America to Southeast Asia. In 2026, under the influence of El Niño, this band lost intensity, notably in the central and western parts of the ocean.

The reduction of these organisms can impact multiple levels of the marine food web. Organisms such as krill, zooplankton, and filter-feeding mollusks feed on phytoplankton and subsequently serve as food for larger species. With the scarcity of organisms at the base of this chain, the food supply decreases for other species, generating consequences that can propagate throughout the entire oceanic system.

Water warming also affects fishing activity. According to the article, vessels operating off the coast of Latin America's Pacific have been returning with incomplete nets, while commercially traded fish, such as tuna and anchovies, migrate to colder waters. This scenario has contributed to the increase in prices of these fishery products.

The effects of this phenomenon transcend the marine environment. Although it begins with water warming in the central and eastern regions of the Pacific, El Niño causes alterations in climate and weather patterns in various parts of the globe.

Matthew Kehrli, chief research scientist for the PACE satellite team at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, stated in a release that tracking the results of the data in real time is very satisfying for researchers.

Josh Willis, a scientist from the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory's sea level missions project in California, also highlighted the scope of the phenomenon. He stated that El Niño affects practically everyone in some way whenever it occurs.

The text points out that tropical Pacific temperatures are about 4°C above average. A previous episode of similar intensity occurred between 1997 and 1998, when El Niño was associated with 23 thousand deaths and a global economic loss of US$ 5.7 trillion.

Study indicates that about 96% of coral reefs are at risk of collapse in 50 years due to climate change
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noticiasaominuto.com

Study indicates that about 96% of coral reefs are at risk of collapse in 50 years due to climate change

A recent analysis indicates that approximately 96% of warm and shallow water coral reef ecosystems, assessed globally, face an 'extremely high' risk of collapse by the year 2075. The main cause of this risk is ocean warming, driven by climate change.

This study, released in the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems last Thursday, classified several of the planet's largest and most biodiverse coral systems as being in 'critical danger.' These systems include the Great Barrier Reef of Australia, the Western and Southeast Asian Coral Triangle, the Mesoamerican Reef System, and the Red Sea reefs.

The research covered 127 tropical and subtropical ecoregions, encompassing 188,362 square kilometers of reefs located in over 80 countries and territories. The IUCN warned that 'thermal stress resulting from climate change is the most significant constant threat driving the decline of coral reefs worldwide.'

The assessment is based on the intermediate climate scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which predicts a global temperature increase of 2.7 degrees by the end of the century, accompanied by a continuous rise in sea surface temperatures. The Director-General of the IUCN, Grethel Aguilar, emphasized that the decline of these ecosystems is depriving many species of food sources, shelter, and breeding grounds, while also endangering the safety and livelihoods of coastal populations.

The implications of this scenario extend to economic activities such as fishing, aquaculture, and coastal tourism. The organization also mentioned that the proportion of ecosystems in critical danger would be even higher if there were sufficient data for four ecoregions currently lacking adequate information. On the other hand, it was noted that the reefs of the western Galapagos islands have already been considered collapsed since the El Niño event between 1982 and 1983.

Reef collapse is defined by the loss of its ecological characteristics, characterized by the near-total disappearance of structural hard corals and the predominance of algae, debris, and sponges, which alters food chains and reduces the carrying capacity for diverse marine life. Despite the seriousness of the forecasts, the study emphasizes that reefs have recovery potential if environmental and local pressures are mitigated.

The study compared current deterioration with future risk; if only considering trends from the last 50 years, 24% of the assessed ecoregions would be in critical danger. However, when including climate projections, this number jumps to 96%. Mishal Gudka, Research Director of CORDIO East Africa and scientific lead for the study, reinforced that although the risk is increasing, this should serve as a warning and not a reason for despair, highlighting the recovery capacity of certain reefs.

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