Anthropic plans billion-dollar IPO while other AI companies postpone stock market entry
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Olhar Digital
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Anthropic plans billion-dollar IPO while other AI companies postpone stock market entry

Anthropic is maintaining its plans for a billion-dollar Initial Public Offering (IPO) in November, despite a financial instability scenario that has led several other artificial intelligence (AI) companies to postpone or cancel their stock listings.

The move by the developer of the Claude models places Anthropic under intense scrutiny from investors, turning its public offering into a barometer for market appetite for this technology sector.

According to Reuters reports released on Thursday (22), the company is reportedly working to publish its prospectus by the end of October and begin presenting its shares to potential investors in the week of November 9, although sources indicated that this schedule was still subject to changes.

Anthropic's operation has the potential to value it at up to US$ 1.5 trillion (approximately R$ 8.1 trillion). This figure reflects the high investor interest in AI growth but also underscores the high level of expectation placed on a company that still needs to prove how it will maintain its expansion in a more constrained financial context.

While Anthropic proceeds with preparations, several other companies that provide essential infrastructure for the development and operation of AI systems are reassessing their capital market access plans.

Data center operator Switch and AI infrastructure provider Nscale have decided to postpone their IPOs to later dates this year. In the case of Nscale, part of this delay is due to the need to respond to questions raised by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) team.

Other companies have also adjusted their strategies: SB Energy, which has the support of SoftBank, postponed its listing. Furthermore, AirTrunk REIT, supported by Blackstone, and Firmus, which receives support from Nvidia, opted to withdraw or suspend their offerings, as reported by Reuters.

This general movement occurs during a period marked by rising interest rates and market volatility, conditions that make it difficult to achieve valuations considered attractive for new stock issuances. Pressure has also affected AI infrastructure companies, such as CoreWeave, whose stocks and bonds have experienced a strong downward trend.

Anthropic's offering gains additional relevance, as other corporations may depend on the market reaction to determine the ideal timing for their own stock market entries. One example cited is the recent capital opening of Oura, which, according to sources heard by Reuters, had limited participation from long-term institutional investors, raising doubts about the true depth of demand for shares in new technology companies.

Thus, the success of Anthropic's offering may provide an indication of how much investors are willing to accept high valuations for AI-related companies, even in the face of high interest rates and increased pressure on industry costs. The company's challenge lies in converting these high expectations into an offering capable of attracting capital, without disregarding the uncertainties that have already caused other AI companies to revise their plans.

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Anthropic's IPO Stands Out Among Delayed Tech Listings
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techcentral.co.za

Anthropic's IPO Stands Out Among Delayed Tech Listings

Among the technology public offerings planned for the remainder of the year in the US, only Anthropic's IPO remains active. The artificial intelligence laboratory continues preparations for its initial public offering, which is scheduled for the middle of next month. Earlier, at the end of October, the company made its prospectus available to the public, but sources familiar with the situation warn that plans and dates may change.

One informed source reported that the marketing of Anthropic's shares will likely begin in the week starting November 9, later than the initial plan. Initially, it was expected that Anthropic would start promoting its IPO in mid-October and list shortly before the US midterm elections in November.

Testing Anthropic's Market Position

This IPO will test whether Anthropic's position at the center of the rapidly developing AI business can overcome market trends that typically prompt bankers and lawyers to recommend a delay. Some investors believe the company's position could justify a valuation of up to $1.5 trillion.

Other companies in the AI infrastructure and data center sectors have postponed their listings. Rising interest rates have contributed to a sharp decline in the value of stocks and bonds of AI operators such as CoreWeave, and broader questions about the sustainability of AI spending have arisen. This contrast highlights Anthropic's appeal to investors despite concerns related to competition from open-source models and AI safety issues.

Despite recent turbulence, many large investors remain optimistic about Anthropic's prospects, viewing the company as one of the few ways to access technology that long-term investors cannot ignore. Two sources noted that other issuers are reluctant to compete with Anthropic for the attention and capital of institutional investors. Anthropic declined to comment.

Pressure on Valuations

The pullback in the AI sector followed a series of IPO delays and withdrawals since September, as market volatility and rising interest rates made it difficult for companies to achieve attractive valuations. Data center operator Switch and AI infrastructure provider Nscale have moved their IPO plans to the end of the current year, according to informed sources, who stressed that these plans remain flexible.

Nscale's delay is partly due to the need to address comments from U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission staff. Additionally, SB Energy, backed by SoftBank, has also postponed its offering, as previously reported by Reuters. Nscale declined to comment, and Switch did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Reuters reported that AirTrunk REIT, a real estate investment trust backed by Blackstone, and Firmus, backed by Nvidia, have withdrawn or suspended their offerings. The recent IPO of smart watch maker Oura added to the caution; this offering attracted little participation from long-term investors, raising concerns about the depth of demand from institutional investors, who usually provide a stable shareholder base for newly listed companies.

The decrease in listings in the AI infrastructure space reflects growing scrutiny over the massive capital required to build data centers and whether future demand will justify these investments. Recent events concerning CoreWeave have heightened concerns about slowing AI spending, although some market participants do not expect this. Reuters previously reported that Nscale publicly filed for an IPO registration in September, while Switch filed confidentially. A confidential filing allows a company to work with regulators on the registration statement before disclosing financial and business information to the public. Companies usually publish this registration before a roadshow, when they begin promoting shares to potential investors.

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