Weather in 11 states, including Delhi and Uttar Pradesh, to change: warning of rain and storms
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Weather in 11 states, including Delhi and Uttar Pradesh, to change: warning of rain and storms

Weather conditions in many parts of the country are set to change again. Some areas are expected to experience heavy rain and stormy winds, while others feel the approach of cold weather against the backdrop of rising air pollution, which is causing concern among the public.

Cyclonic circulation active over the Andaman Sea indicates the possible development of a new weather system in the Bay of Bengal. According to meteorological department warnings, rain and strong winds may affect regions from Tamil Nadu to many North Indian states on October 23. Meanwhile, air quality in Delhi-NCR has reached the poor category.

Weather phenomena around the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea are intensifying. According to IMD, cyclonic circulation was active over the North Andaman Sea on the morning of October 22 and is likely to move in a northwest direction. As a result, this system may lead to the development of a low-pressure area in the southeastern and adjacent east-central part of the Bay of Bengal around October 23. This system has the potential to intensify as it moves.

IMD notes that there is a possibility of cyclonic activity in the Bay of Bengal between October and December. Warm sea water and favorable atmospheric conditions can lend strength to the seasonal system. However, it is not yet possible to definitively say whether the existing weather system will take the form of a tropical cyclone. A clear picture of the trajectory, intensity, and potential impact on the coasts of India will become clear in the coming days.

Against the backdrop of the withdrawal of monsoons from North India and the onset of winter, pollution levels in Delhi and its surroundings have increased. In the capital city, the Air Quality Index (AQI) was 287 on Friday morning, which falls into the critical category. The sky was covered with a haze of smog in the morning, leading to reduced visibility. The air in Delhi-NCR remains suffocating.

According to the air quality early warning system forecasts, an improvement in air quality in the coming days is unlikely. The Commission for Air Quality Management (CAQM) has implemented Phase I measures of the Graded Response Action Plan (GRAP). These measures include a ban on construction and demolition activities to prevent dust pollution. A ban has also been imposed on the use of coal or wood in hotels, restaurants, and street stalls in Delhi-NCR, as well as on diesel generators. Water sprinkling and dust removal using vacuum machines are being carried out on the streets. Furthermore, vehicles below BS-VI standards will not be allowed entry into Delhi starting November 1.

The meteorological department predicts heavy or very heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal on October 23. Signs of weather change are also observed in North India. The rain warning extends to states such as Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, West Bengal, Karnataka, Kerala, and Andhra Pradesh. Strong gusts of wind up to 75 kilometers per hour are expected under thunderstorm clouds in some areas. Light or moderate rain is also possible in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Odisha, Jharkhand, and Telangana, although the intensity and impact of the rain may vary across different regions.

Rain with thunderstorms and surface winds are expected in Delhi-NCR on October 23. This weather change may cause temperature fluctuations. The maximum temperature in Delhi is forecasted to be around 31 degrees, and the minimum at 19 degrees Celsius. Even light rain can help reduce pollution levels. Light or moderate rain is possible in several areas of Uttar Pradesh. Warnings of rain and storms have been issued in places like East Champaran, West Champaran, Gaya, Patna, and Muzaffarpur in Bihar. Regarding the hilly states, heavy rains and winds of 60-65 kilometers per hour are expected in areas like Dehradun, Nainital, Haridwar, and Chamoli in Uttarakhand. Rain and strong winds are also forecast in Mandi, Kullu, and Kangra in Himachal Pradesh. The region of Jammu and Kashmir may also experience the effects of rain and storms.

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Smog intensifies in Delhi-NCR amid cold weather; weather changes expected in several states due to low pressure and western disturbances
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Smog intensifies in Delhi-NCR amid cold weather; weather changes expected in several states due to low pressure and western disturbances

Air pollution levels have begun to rise in Delhi-NCR against the backdrop of approaching cold weather. In the capital, despite sunny days and dropping night temperatures, the air reached poor quality for the first time this season on Wednesday. Simultaneously, due to the low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal and other atmospheric phenomena, rainfall is forecasted in various parts of the country. The Meteorological Department issued a rain warning for 15 states for October 22.

Temperatures in the plains are decreasing under the influence of snow in the mountainous regions and cold winds, leading to an increased feeling of cold. According to meteorological service data, conditions favorable for rain are forming in eastern and southern India due to the low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal and cyclonic circulation over Bangladesh. Furthermore, the influence of Western Disturbances is causing rain and snowfall in hilly states, while light rains have been recorded in some plain areas. The drop in temperature due to precipitation and cold winds enhances the feeling of cold in the morning and evening.

As winter sets in, air quality in Delhi-NCR has started to deteriorate. In the capital, on Wednesday, October 21, the Air Quality Index (AQI) was 245, marking the first day with poor air quality this season. After reaching the poor quality category, the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) implemented the first stage of the Graded Response Action Plan (GRAP) for Delhi-NCR.

Previously, the AQI in Delhi had reached 246 on July 13. Analysis of data by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) showed that from 2015 to 2025, the air in Delhi typically fell into the poor quality category in the first ten days of October. This year, it happened on October 21, which is the latest instance among available data. According to the air quality early warning system, the air in Delhi may remain in the poor category until October 23, and no significant improvement is expected in the forecast for the next six days.

Following the implementation of the first stage of GRAP in Delhi-NCR, steps are being taken to control dust at construction sites, mechanically clean roads, and increase water spraying. Open burning of garbage and organic waste is prohibited, and action will be taken against polluting vehicles. Inspections of industrial units, brick kilns, and hot mix plants will also be intensified. The Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC) announced the launch of 20 additional trains on weekdays starting Thursday as part of efforts to reduce pollution. The Delhi government also announced strict enforcement of the rule prohibiting the sale of fuel at petrol pumps without a Pollution Under Control (PUC) certificate, valid from November 1. Additionally, from November 1, only BS-VI standard vehicles will be allowed entry in Delhi, except for ambulances, electric vehicles, and other vehicles used for essential services.

The weather is also changing in Uttar Pradesh. In recent days, temperatures have dropped after light rains. According to meteorological forecasts, temperatures may drop further in the coming days, leading to increased cold in the morning and at night. Weather changes are possible in many areas, including Kanpur, Kushinagar, Bijnor, Agra, Mathura, Shravasti, Gorakhpur, Ghaziabad, Noida, Meerut, and Deoria, on October 22. Lucknow is forecasted to have a maximum temperature of about 31 degrees and a minimum of about 18 degrees Celsius. Temperature fluctuations may also be observed in areas adjacent to Delhi-NCR in western Uttar Pradesh.

The impact of the weather is felt more strongly in the hilly states. Fresh snow has fallen in the high-altitude areas of Rudraprayag and Chamoli in Uttarakhand, while light to moderate rain is forecasted in Haridwar and Rishikesh. Cold is also intensifying in the high-altitude regions of Himachal Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir due to snowfall. Cold winds from the mountains can also be felt in the plains. A further drop in temperature is expected over the next two to three days. Among tourists in mountain tourism spots, there is an increase in visits amid the weather changes.

The weather is also changing in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. Rain is forecasted near 21 districts of Madhya Pradesh and 20 districts of Rajasthan. Following recent rainfall in parts of both states, a decrease in temperature has been recorded. In Bhopal, a maximum temperature of about 31 degrees and a minimum of about 18 degrees Celsius is forecasted. In Jaipur, the maximum temperature is estimated at 23 degrees, and the minimum is about 19 degrees Celsius. Changes in daytime and nighttime temperatures may occur due to rain and cloud cover.

The Meteorological Department has issued a rain warning for October 22 for Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka, Telangana, Maharashtra, Lakshadweep, and other states.

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