As the second period of October begins, various weather phenomena are observed across different parts of the country. Heavy rain is forecast in some regions, while others expect strong winds with thunderstorms. In South India, the rainy season may intensify, while a low-pressure area in the Arabian Sea is activating sea weather.
Conversely, in the northern states of India, including Delhi, the cold has intensified in the morning, evening, and night. On Monday morning, Delhi recorded the coldest night of the month. The minimum temperature at the Safdarjung weather station was 17.1 degrees Celsius, which is 1.3 degrees below the average. Meanwhile, the daytime maximum temperature reached 31.7 degrees Celsius. According to the Meteorological Department (IMD), the minimum temperature recorded in Safdarjung is the lowest for the current month. In Delhi, as in other northern Indian states, light cold has begun to be felt during the morning, evening, and night hours.
The problem of air pollution may increase in the capital region in the coming days. According to the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB), on Monday at 16:00, the average daily Air Quality Index (AQI) in Delhi was 139, which falls into the moderate category. Out of 58 monitoring stations, two were in the poor air quality category, six in the satisfactory category, and the rest in the moderate category. The worst situation was recorded in Pusa, where the AQI reached 281. Early warning system forecasts show that the air in Delhi may remain in the moderate category on October 20. However, pollution could rise to the poor category on October 21 and 22. There is a possibility of poor air quality persisting for the next six days. Adverse weather conditions can hinder the dispersion of pollutants. Pollution can accumulate in the air when the ventilation index is below 6000 square meters per second and the average wind speed is less than 10 kilometers per hour.
Amid concerns about air quality in Delhi, instances of stubble burning are also being recorded. Satellite data from the CREAMS laboratory of the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR-IARI) registered 98 cases of stubble burning in six states on October 19. Among these, there were 27 cases in Uttar Pradesh, 25 in Punjab, 24 in Rajasthan, 18 in Uttarakhand, and four cases in Madhya Pradesh. On Monday, no cases of stubble burning were registered in Haryana and Delhi. From September 15 to October 19, the total number of incidents was 1171. These incidents included 370 in Madhya Pradesh, 368 in Punjab, 197 in Rajasthan, 175 in Uttar Pradesh, 51 in Uttarakhand, 9 in Haryana, and 1 case in Delhi. CPCB classifies AQI categories as follows: good - 0-50, satisfactory - 51-100, moderate - 101-200, poor - 201-300, very poor - 301-400, and hazardous - 401-500.
In the northwestern part of Uttar Pradesh and surrounding areas, there is cyclonic rotation in the upper layers of the atmosphere at an altitude of about 1.5 kilometers above sea level. Nevertheless, the meteorological department does not predict major weather changes in North India different from the forecasts given for various states this week. A cyclonic rotation has formed over Himachal Pradesh and adjacent Punjab, associated with a western disturbance, at an altitude of about 3.1 kilometers above sea level. The corresponding trough line extends to an altitude of about 5.8 kilometers in the middle troposphere. Cyclonic rotation is also present in southern Rajasthan and surrounding areas. The trough line originated from southwestern Rajasthan to northeastern Arabian Sea. Despite these weather systems, the meteorological department does not forecast large-scale weather activity for North India.
Weather in some parts of central and western India may change after North India. In Madhya Pradesh, winds of 30-40 kilometers per hour with thunderstorms are expected in some places on October 20, with gusts potentially reaching 50 kilometers per hour. In Konkan and Goa, winds of 40-50 kilometers per hour with thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday, with gusts potentially reaching 60 kilometers per hour. Similar weather may be observed in central Maharashtra.
An increase in rainfall activity is expected in South India. IMD warned of heavy and very heavy rainfall in some areas of Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal on October 20. Heavy rains may also lash Kerala, Maharashtra, and coastal Andhra Pradesh. K.A. Sangothaiyan, Minister of Revenue and Disaster Management of Tamil Nadu, reported that an orange alert has been issued in six districts: Tiruvur, Mayiladuthurai, Thanjavur, Pudukkottai, Coimbatore, and Nilgiris. The minister told journalists at the emergency control center in Ajilagam, Chennai, that the district administration has been instructed to be prepared for heavy rains. District directors and officials from relevant departments are monitoring the situation and are ready to take immediate action if necessary. In Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal on October 20-25...
