Paraná is expected to see rain and storms during election weekend, predict meteorologists
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Paraná is expected to see rain and storms during election weekend, predict meteorologists

The state of Paraná is expected to face rain and storms during the election weekend, according to information provided by Climatempo, the National Institute of Meteorology (Inmet), and the State Environmental Technology and Monitoring System (Simepar).

Meteorologists agree that the arrival of a cold front late Saturday (the 3rd) will cause showers throughout the day, culminating in thunderstorms with strong winds, lightning, and hail during Saturday night and Sunday morning (the 4th).

On Friday, October 2nd, Climatempo predicts stable weather in Paraná, although there will be more cloudiness near the coast. There is a chance of light and isolated rain only in the north and northeast of the state, while the rest remains dry.

Simepar reports that, in most of the interior, the sun will appear in the morning, raising temperatures. In the western region, highs may reach 30ºC in the afternoon, when quick and isolated rains might occur between Campos Gerais and the north, but without signs of thunderstorms.

Saturday, October 3rd

On this Saturday, instability will begin to manifest in Paraná. Climatempo attributes this increase in cloudiness and showers to the action of low-pressure areas, initially more concentrated in the west, center, and north of the state, which may affect other regions.

Simepar indicates that despite persistent cloudiness in the east during the morning, the sun will emerge throughout the day. In the interior, the sky will have few clouds in the morning, contributing to warming. However, from the afternoon, localized and quick rains are expected, with the possibility of more intense showers.

During the night, the approach of a cold front will bring strong storms—characterized by intense rain, strong wind, many lightning strikes, and even hail—affecting the northwest, west, southwest, and south-central regions, according to Simepar.

Sunday, October 4th

On Sunday, the instability will intensify, and precipitation will spread across almost all of Paraná. Climatempo's forecast indicates that the combination of low-pressure systems with the advance of the cold front will favor periods of rain and showers, with potential for heavy rain, thunder, strong winds, and hail, especially in the west, north, and center of the state.

Simepar's models indicate that thunderstorms tend to concentrate between the early morning and the start of the morning. Although some rain events may occur in the afternoon and evening, they will be more sporadic. For Monday and Tuesday, the weather will remain very unstable due to the intensification of a low-pressure system in neighboring countries.

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Rain is expected in large parts of Mato Grosso do Sul this Sunday, the 4th, which marks the first round of the 2026 elections. The combination of a new cold front crossing South-Central Brazil, along with heat and humidity, favors the formation of rain showers and raises the risk of thunderstorms throughout the day.

Initially, in the early hours of Sunday, precipitation should be concentrated in certain locations. However, throughout the afternoon, the climatic instability should extend to other areas of the state. This union between the cold front and humidity may result in isolated thunderstorms in various points of Mato Grosso do Sul.

In Campo Grande, the rain showers expected for Sunday afternoon are anticipated to be of moderate to heavy intensity. For this reason, it is recommended that voters pay attention to weather conditions while traveling to polling stations. The first round of the 2026 elections will take place nationwide this Sunday (4).

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For Campo Grande, forecasts vary depending on the specific city. In one projection, Sunday shows a minimum of 23°C and a maximum of 28°C, with sun and many clouds in the morning, followed by thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, presenting a 91% chance of rain. Another forecast indicates a minimum of 21°C and a maximum of 23°C, with cloudy skies and heavy rain during the day, decreasing in intensity at night, with a 97% chance.

In other analyses for Campo Grande, there are projections of higher temperatures, such as a minimum of 25°C and a maximum of 36°C, with rain showers expected in the afternoon and evening, with an 85% probability. A fourth projection points to severe weather, with heavy rain and thunder throughout the day, with a 97% chance. Another forecast shows a minimum of 22°C and a maximum of 31°C, with quick rains expected during the day and night, with an 81% chance of rain.

Santista Lowlands and Ribeira Valley will have unstable weather, rain, and mild temperatures this weekend
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Santista Lowlands and Ribeira Valley will have unstable weather, rain, and mild temperatures this weekend

The first weekend of October will be characterized by unstable weather in both the Santista Lowlands and the Ribeira Valley. The Civil Defense of the State of São Paulo predicts that both areas will present a combination of sun among clouds, rain, wind, and more pleasant temperatures until Sunday, the 4th.

According to Climatempo, Friday, the 2nd, in the Santista Lowlands will be a day of constant rain. On Saturday, the 3rd, although the sun will appear among the clouds, the Civil Defense issues a warning about the possibility of more persistent rains. The forecasted temperatures for these two days in the Santista Lowlands will range between 18°C and 28°C.

On Sunday, the 4th, in the Santista Lowlands, there should be sun interspersed with clouds during the day, but with rain showers in the afternoon and at night, accompanied by lightning and gusts of wind. Thermometers will indicate temperatures between 19°C and 28°C.

In the Ribeira Valley, Friday and Saturday will be marked by sun among clouds and periods of overcast sky throughout the day, with temperatures varying between 18°C and 23°C.

For Sunday in the Ribeira Valley, the expectation is sun with many clouds and rain showers in the afternoon. At night, there is a forecast of a storm, with an accumulation of 11.7 millimeters of rain, and temperatures will be between 18°C and 28°C.

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