China forecasts 2.8 billion trips during year-end holidays and National Day
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China forecasts 2.8 billion trips during year-end holidays and National Day

The Mid-Autumn Festival celebration runs from today until Sunday, while the National Day holidays, known as the 'golden week,' extend from October 1st to 7th, totaling ten days of festivities.

According to Vice Minister of Transport Li Yang, cited by the state newspaper People's Daily, there will only be three working days between the Mid-Autumn Festival and the National Day holidays this year. This will result in an extended period of 13 days for some people, which will cause changes in transport volumes and methods.

Li Yang indicated that passenger volume during the Mid-Autumn Festival is expected to show a 'slight increase' compared to usual days. He anticipates that the total inter-regional passenger travel across the country will reach 650 million, representing an average of 217 million displacements per day.

The official added that most of these trips will be for returning to families for visits, as well as outings to friends and relatives, with travel to rural and suburban areas also being popular.

For the National Day holiday period, passenger traffic is estimated to reach 2.13 billion trips over the seven days, with a projected daily average of 300 million passengers.

Li Yang emphasized that road transport will remain the main mode of travel during these holidays, with an estimated participation exceeding 90%. On the first day of the holiday, highway traffic is expected to peak at 71 million vehicles.

Additionally, moderate growth is forecast in the rail and air sectors, with average daily passenger volumes increasing by approximately 1.4% and 0.6%, respectively.

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Average sugar price drops below 60 rupees but remains above August level
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Average sugar price drops below 60 rupees but remains above August level

News has emerged that may ease the budget for sweets and home cooking before the holidays: the average retail price of sugar in the country has been below 60 rupees per kilogram for four consecutive days. Nevertheless, this relief is not significant, as sugar is still more expensive than in August.

According to data from the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, on Monday, the average retail price of sugar was 59.57 rupees per kilogram, slightly higher than the previous day's 58.99 rupees. The average retail price of sugar first dropped below 60 rupees per kilogram on September 11, after which there has been some price decline in recent days. However, the increase in the average price on Monday compared to the previous day should be noted. It should also be mentioned that on August 21, the average retail price was 58.23 rupees per kilogram, meaning the current average cost is still higher than that level. Thus, the relief gained before the holidays can only be described as a minor decrease.

There remains a substantial difference in sugar prices across different parts of the country. On Monday, the minimum retail price was recorded at 40 rupees per kilogram, while the maximum reached 85 rupees per kilogram. This means that even if the average price is below 60 rupees, many consumers have to pay significantly more in certain trading points. Due to increased demand for sweets and other food products during the holidays, upward pressure on sugar prices in some regions remains.

Sugar prices are not uniform across the states of South India. In Andhra Pradesh, the average price rose from 49.58 rupees per kilogram on August 21 to 55.56 rupees per kilogram on Monday. A price increase was also noted in Karnataka, while there was a slight decrease in Tamil Nadu. In Kerala, the average price increased from 56.75 rupees per kilogram on August 21 to 57.80 rupees per kilogram on Monday.

The situation differs in the major producing states of the country. In Maharashtra, the average retail price decreased from 59 rupees per kilogram on August 21 to 58.22 rupees per kilogram on Monday. A softening of sugar prices also occurred in Uttar Pradesh; the average price fell from 59.64 rupees to 57.88 rupees per kilogram. The price reduction was even more pronounced in Madhya Pradesh: the average price of sugar decreased from 62.36 rupees to 56.57 rupees per kilogram. A small drop was also recorded in West Bengal, with the price falling from 60.95 rupees to 60.43 rupees per kilogram.

To stabilize sugar prices, the government permitted sugar imports on August 21. Furthermore, rules regarding the storage of stocks for wholesale buyers and dealers were tightened. The government's goal is to maintain an adequate supply of goods in the market and control prices. The government has also accused sugar mills of raising prices. The state claims that there are sufficient sugar reserves in the country to meet domestic demand. However, the projected sugar production for the 2025-26 marketing year was reduced from 343 million tons to 306 million tons. Meanwhile, the annual domestic demand in the country is expected to be around 280-285 million tons.

Demand for sugar is increasing due to higher consumption in homes, bakeries, and when preparing sweets during the holidays. Consequently, price pressure may intensify again in the near future. Especially in states and cities where holiday-related demand is high, retail prices may remain above average. Currently, the good news for the average consumer is that the average price of sugar in the country has been below 60 rupees per kilogram for four days. However, compared to August 21, the price is still higher, and there is a significant difference in prices across various cities.

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