Xalqaro valyuta fondi (MFV) sunʼiy intellekt (SI) hozirda jahon iqtisodiyotini qoʻllab-quvvatlayotganini maʼlum qildi. MFV boshqaruvchisi Kristalina Georgiyeva aytishicha, SI infratuzilmasiga kiritilgan kuchli investitsiyalar global oʻsishni taxminan 3% darajasida saqlashga yordam bermoqda.
Georgiyeva SI ga kiritilgan investitsiyalar portlashi allaqachon 'talab va investitsiya shokini' keltirib chiqargan, bu esa rivojlangan Osiyo iqtisodiyotlarida oʻsish surʼatini yarim foiz yoki butun bir foizga, rivojlanayotgan Osiyo iqtisodiyotlarida esa 0,2-0,8 foiz punktiga oshirishga qodir.
Taychi tandogʻidagi MFV va Jahon banki haftalik uchrashuvlari birinchi kunida yuzlab ishtirokchilarga murojaat qilgan Georgiyeva, bu yuqori darajaga oʻtish jahon iqtisodiyotining energiya inqirozi kabi salbiy taʼsiriga qaramay, taxminan 3% darajada oʻsishiga imkon berayotganini taʼkidladi.
MFV 2026 yil uchun global oʻsishni 3% deb prognoz qilmoqda, yangilangan prognoz seshanba kuni eʼlon qilinadi. Ushbu uchrashuvlarda MFVning 191 aʼzo davlatidan moliyaviy ofitserlar kiritilgan holda taxminan 18 000 kishi ishtirok etishi kutilmoqda. Biroq, AQSh Davlat kotibi Skott Bessent va Ispaniya moliya vaziri Arkadi Espanya kabi baʼzi vazirlar ichki ustuvorliklarga eʼtibor qaratish uchun tadbirni tashlab ketishadi.
SI transformatsiyasining oqibatlari
Georgiyeva SI ni 'sekin harakatlanuvchi tsunami' sifatida tasvirladi, u bandlik, iqtisodiy oʻsish, taʼlim va hatto hukumatning soliq tushumlarini yigʻish usullari kabi keng koʻlamli taʼsir koʻrsatadi, chunki mehnatdan kapitalga oʻtish kutilmoqda.
MFV baholariga koʻra, vaqt oʻtishi bilan SI 40% ish joylarini toʻldirishga, maqomini pasaytirishga yoki bekor qilishga olib kelishi mumkin. Dastlabki tadqiqot shuni koʻrsatdiki, AQShda allaqachon 10% ish joylari SI bilan bogʻliq koʻnikmalarni talab qilardi. Rutin va takrorlanuvchi ishlar kamayib borayotgan paytda, past maoshli lavozimlar qurilish va maʼlumotlarni qayta ishlash markazlarida ortib bormoqda.
U SI ni 'transformatsion texnologiya' deb atadi, bu ish va hayot tarzlarini butunlay oʻzgartiradi, masalan, rejadagi har kuni 30 daqiqalik brifingni olish uchun SI yordamchisidan foydalanish misolida.
Georgiyeva AQSh, Xitoy va Hindiston SI taʼminot zanjirining asosiy ishlab chiqaruvchilari ekanligini koʻrsatdi, ammo zarur infratuzilmani yaratadigan koʻplab kompaniyalar Osiyoda joylashgan, bu yilgi yillik uchrashuvni oʻtkazayotgan Taylandga havolalar berdi.
Boshqa liderlarning fikrlari
Jahon banki prezidenti Ajey Banga, oʻz prezidentligi davrida ish joylariga eʼtibor qaratgan boʻlib, bank rivojlanayotgan bozorlardagi fermerlar, sogʻliqni saqlash tizimlari, pedagoglar va boshqalar samaradorligini oshirish uchun katta til modellariga bogʻliq boʻlmagan 'kichik SIʼdan foydalanayotganini maʼlum qildi.
Singapur prezidenti Tarmon Shanmugaratnam shu tadbirda nutq soʻzlab, hukumatlarni SI tufayli bitiruvchilar uchun ish topish imkoniyatlarini kamaytirish muammosini hal qilishga chaqirdi. U yaqin orada hal qilinishi kerak boʻlgan maxsus muammo mavjudligini taʼkidladi: oʻqish tugagandan keyingi birinchi ishga boʻlgan talab kamaymoqda.
U shuningdek, rivojlanayotgan va rivojlangan iqtisodiyotlar oʻrtasida oʻsish va ish oʻrinlari yaratish boʻyicha SI 'yangi farq' hosil qilish xavfi haqida ogohlantirdi. Bu xavf PwC tomonidan ham qoʻllab-quvvatlandi, ular Janub Afrikadagi yuqori tengsizlik SI dan olinadigan foydasini cheklaydi deb ogohlantirdilar. Tarmon SI passiv qolsa, bu farqni kuchaytirishi mumkinligini yakunladi va shuning uchun SI dan yaxshi ish oʻrinlari va odamlar karyera bosqichlarida siljish imkonini beradigan ish oʻrinlarini yaratish uchun foydalanish kerakligini taʼkidladi.
> 1. **English (en)**: Title: IMF asserts that artificial intelligence supports the global economy through infrastructure investments. Rewrite:The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that artificial intelligence (AI) is currently supporting the global economy. According to IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, strong investments in AI infrastructure are helping sustain global growth at around 3%.
Georgieva noted that the boom in AI investments has already caused a 'demand and investment shock,' which is capable of increasing growth rates in developed Asian economies by half a percentage point or a full percentage point, and in developing Asian economies by 0.2–0.8 percentage points.
Speaking to hundreds of participants on the first day of the weekly cycle of IMF and World Bank meetings in the Thai capital, Georgieva emphasized that this transition to a higher level allows the world economy to grow by approximately 3%, despite the negative impact of the energy crisis.
The IMF forecasts global growth of 3% for 2026, with an updated forecast to be published on Tuesday. Around 18,000 people are expected to attend these meetings, including financial officials from 191 IMF member countries. However, some ministers, such as US Secretary of State Scott Bessent and Spanish Finance Minister Arcadi España, will skip the events to focus on domestic priorities.
Consequences of AI Transformation
Georgieva described AI as a 'slow-moving tsunami' that will have a profound impact on employment, economic growth, education, and even how governments collect tax revenue, given the expected shift from labor to capital.
According to IMF estimates, over time, AI could lead to 40% of jobs being augmented, downgraded, or eliminated. Initial research showed that 10% of jobs in the US already required AI-related skills. While routine and repetitive jobs are shrinking, low-wage positions are growing in two sectors: construction and data centers.
She called AI a 'transformative technology' that completely changes methods of work and life, citing the use of an AI assistant for a daily 30-minute briefing on schedule.
Georgieva pointed out that the US, China, and India are the main producers in the AI supply chain, but many companies creating the necessary infrastructure are located in Asia, referencing Thailand, which hosts the annual meetings this year.
Views of Other Leaders
World Bank President Ajay Banga, who focused on jobs as the central theme of his presidency, reported that the bank is using 'small AI'—which does not rely on large language models—to boost the productivity of farmers, healthcare systems, educators, and others in emerging markets.
Singapore President Temasek Shanthamugaratnam, speaking at the same event, urged governments to address the issue of reduced employment opportunities for graduates due to AI. He noted there is a specific problem that needs solving soon: the demand for first jobs after graduation is decreasing.
He also warned of the risk of creating an AI 'new divergence' in growth and job creation between developing and developed economies. This risk was supported by PwC, which warned that high inequality in South Africa would limit its benefit from AI. Tham concluded that AI could exacerbate this divergence if left passive, and therefore, AI must be used to create good jobs and jobs that humans can perform, allowing them to advance in their careers despite the presence of AI.
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